Monday, September 5, 2011

Fantasy Football "Go and No" Guys.

Every week I'll be doing my "Fantasy Go Guys" and "Fantasy No Guys" column.  These are virtually my start/sits for each match-up.  I'll normally post these later in the week during the season, but figured since there's a Thursday game I'd post them sooner.  You'll also be seeing parts of this column in the game previews in a couple days.

NO vs. GB
Fantasy Go Guy:
Ryan Grant:  Don’t believe the hype that James Starks will be the starter in Green Bay.  Until we see something out of him, it’s safe to assume that Grant will get the lion’s share of the carries.  In past years, Grant was the workhorse back for his team, and I expect the Packers to run plenty on Thursday.
Fantasy No Guys:
New Orleans’ wide receivers:  Drew Brees simply spreads the ball around too much for me to be interested in any Saints WRs.  Marques Colston underwent knee surgery this offseason, and while I really like Lance Moore this year, he isn’t a reliable starter for the season opener.

PIT vs. BAL
Fantasy Go Guys:
Stud players:  I normally would choose a lesser known name to start, but Ray Rice, Rashard Mendenhall, and Mike Wallace are the only players I trust in this rivalry.  You don’t sit your top fantasy producers…EVER.
Fantasy No Guys:
The other guys:  I don’t feel comfortable starting Flacco and Roethlisberger against average defenses, let alone two of the best defenses in the league.  This also translates to me not liking nearly every receiver in this game.

ATL vs. CHI
Fantasy Go Guy:
Julio Jones:  The addition of Brandon Meriweather makes the Chicago secondary a little more potent, but they still have ordinary cornerbacks behind Charles Tillman.  Roddy White will draw a lot of attention, and I think Jones has the upside to break out in the season opener.  Note:  I also like slot receiver Harry Douglas, but unless you’re in deep leagues do not start him.
Fantasy No Guy:
Tony Gonzalez:  The Chicago Bears were 10th against fantasy tight ends last year, and Gonzo isn’t what he used to be.  I’d look for Matt Ryan to use his wide receivers more in this game.

CIN vs. CLE
Fantasy Go Guy:
Colt McCoy:  Start him if he’s your only option.  This means that if Peyton Manning is your starter, and you need a fill-in week 1, I’d feel comfortable playing McCoy.  He showed what he can do this preseason, and he has potentially good targets in Brian Robiskie and Greg Little.  I'd play McCoy in a 14-team league.
Fantasy No Guy:
A.J. Green:  Andy Dalton is the starting QB.  Enough said.

IND vs. HOU
Fantasy Go Guys:
Not much to say here.  You’re going to start Schaub, Andre Johnson, Dallas Clark, and Reggie Wayne.  Play the obvious choices.
Fantasy No Guy: 
Pierre Garcon:  I do think that Kerry Collins will perform adequately in Peyton’s absence, but it’s too much to ask of Pierre Garcon to do well in that time.  He's really the 4th receiver behind Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, and Austin Collie.

TEN vs. JAC
Fantasy Go Guy:
Matt Hasselbeck:  Jacksonville’s secondary is among the worst in the league, and I don’t expect Chris Johnson to get run into the ground after barely practicing the last month -- they don’t want to deal with a hamstring injury.  This gives Hasselbeck a chance at having a big game vs. the Jaguars.  Note:  I also like Kenny Britt in week 1 if Hasselbeck does well.  The dude's a walking arrest warrant, but Jacksonville’s awful.
Fantasy No Guys:
Jacksonville’s offense…minus Maurice Jones-Drew.

BUF vs. KC
Fantasy Go Guy:
Stevie Johnson is the only guy I’d feel comfortable starting in this game, no other clear-cut starts here.
Fantasy No Guy:
Dwayne Bowe:  Buffalo was 3rd in pass defense last year, and Matt Cassel may miss the season opener.  Nothing to like here.

PHI vs. STL
Fantasy Go Guys:
Start the obvious Eagles.  Michael Vick, LeSean McCoy, and DeSean Jackson.
Fantasy No Guy:
Jeremy Maclin:  Maclin should have a good fantasy season, but he is a likely candidate to start the season slow given his health.  Because of his illness he lost 15 pounds, something that worries me at the beginning of the year.

DET vs. TB
Fantasy Go Guy:
Matthew Stafford:  He’s been on fire this preseason and I think he is going to have success this weekend against Tampa Bay.  If he stays healthy, I believe he’s a top 10 fantasy quarterback…easily.
Fantasy No Guy:
Josh Freeman:  Even after a rough preseason I still like Freeman for this year, just not in week 1.  There’s questions surrounding the Lion’s secondary, but they’re expected to have a fearsome pass rush (highlighted by Ndamukong Suh and underrated Cliff Avril/Kyle Vanden Bosch).

CAR vs. ARI
Fantasy Go Guy:
DeAngelo Williams:  He’s coming off an injury-plagued season, and Jonathan Stewart is still in Carolina, but the Arizona Cardinals were 31st vs. the run last year.  I like Williams this year, and a week 1 match-up vs. the Cardinals is just what he needs.
Fantasy No Guy:
Kevin Kolb:  He’s being overrated by fantasy players everywhere.  He’s not even started double digit games in his career, and Larry Fitzgerald is his only consistent target.  Carolina had a surprisingly solid pass defense last season, and I don’t like Kolb in week 1.

MIN vs. SD
Fantasy Go Guys:
Adrian Peterson, Vincent Jackson, Philip Rivers.  That is all.
Fantasy No Guy:
Malcom Floyd:  Let me start by saying that he has almost no upside.  When Vincent Jackson was out for most of last year, Floyd was incredibly average.  You can’t expect a better year than last with Jackson back in the lineup.  Unless the matchup is extremely favorable, I wouldn’t start him all year.

SEA vs. SF
Fantasy Go Guy:
Braylon Edwards:  It’s true that Alex Smith throws like a Division II college quarterback, but Edwards is facing the 30th ranked fantasy receiver defense from 2010.  Not to mention Michael Crabtree probably won't play.
Fantasy No Guy:
Marshawn Lynch:  He potentially could have a big year, but the 49ers were 10th in the league allowing fantasy points to RBs last year, and they were 6th vs. the run overall.

NYG vs. WAS
Fantasy Go Guy:
Mario Manningham:  He’s the undisputed 2nd receiver in an offense where the QB will probably throw for 4,000+ yards.  Washington was also 31st in pass defense last season.
Fantasy No Guy:
Tim Hightower:  He’ll probably end up being serviceable in 2011, but the Giants have been solid against the rushing attack for multiple years now.  Stay away in week 1.

DAL vs. NYJ
Fantasy Go Guy:
Mark Sanchez:  I’ll be the first guy to admit that I hate Mark Sanchez, but he’s going up a Cowboys’ secondary that struggled last year, and could’ve benefited from acquiring Brandon Meriweather.
Fantasy No Guy:
Felix Jones:  He’s primed for a bounce back season, but against a fantastic Jets’ defense I don’t see this game working out well for him.

NE vs. MIA
Fantasy Go Guy:
Wes Welker:  His neck doesn’t look like a big issue at all, and the addition of Chad Ochocinco could draw the defense away from Welker.  Welker’s down number last year were partly due to the lack of a deep threat after Randy Moss left, something that should be partially quelled with Ochocinco in the mix.
Fantasy No Guy:
BenJarvus Green-Ellis:  I’ve been like a broken record this preseason – “don’t go after BJGE, he’s overrated…Stevan Ridley looks like a breakout candidate”.  I stick by that thinking, and against a good Miami defense I don’t see this crowded NE backfield doing well.  Let Tom Brady handle this one, boys.

OAK vs. DEN
Fantasy Go Guy:
Jacoby Ford:  I wrote a sleeper article about him, and I’m hoping my prediction comes to fruition in week one.  Denver’s pass defense was awful last year, and Jason Campbell was surprisingly solid.
Fantasy No Guy:
Brandon Lloyd:  Kyle Orton and Brandon Lloyd could put up numbers close to what they did last year, but I don't see it starting in week one...Oakland was 2nd against the pass last year.  Sure, Asomugha was a big loss for the Raiders, but not a big enough one to turn them into an awful defense.

Want to check out the most outstanding views on all things nonsense?  Then follow me on Twitter for more narcissistic comments., with probably minimal football knowledge thrown in!  @Zatchj62

Or if you love long and drawn out books, go over and read Matt's week one matchups.

Feel free to email me any questions:  msuhoopz62@att.net 


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