Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Second Half Sleepers

By: Zach Jacobson

It's a refreshing time--mid-fall, that is. The leaves have fallen, there's a crisp scent in the air, and the NFL season is in full swing. Let's not forget to mention that mine and Matt's Green Bay Packers (yes I said it, you didn't hear that we own them now?) are a league-leading 8-0. I'm sorry lifelong Bears fan, did that hurt you? Disgruntled Ditka lovers aside, the upcoming weeks of fantasy football will be teeming with lesser-name players breaking out, and it's my job to help you strike gold.

The Names

Laurent Robinson, DAL: 2010's dud is 2011's stud. This website didn't exist in the 2010 preseason, but if it did, you woulda' seen me touting Robinson like crazy. And boy, I couldn't have been more wrong about the 26 year old receiver. With last year's failure in mind, I'm hoping these next few weeks will make up for it. If you haven't heard, Miles Austin will be missing his fair share of time with a hamstring injury. That puts Robinson in the #2 slot with Dez Bryant in the #1, and guess who's gonna be open a lot when Bryant is double covered? Robinson has 2 touchdowns in as many games, so pick him up quickly, because he'll soon be a hot fantasy commodity.

Vincent Brown, SD: Had you even heard of Brown before last week? If your answer was yes, then I guess there's a decent chance that you're lying. Well my non-paying job here at ReclinerQB.com had me doing research on him early on, and my stance on him since August hasn't changed--eventually this rookie wide receiver should be owned in most fantasy leagues. Let's be honest, Patrick Crayton isn't lighting up the field, and given the choice between the mediocre 32 year old and the young guy with upside the Chargers won't go with the veteran. Brown shined with Malcom Floyd not playing Sunday, and with Floyd ruled out again against the Raiders, he could have another nice game. I'm not saying he's a 2011 stud, but a couple more 70+ yard games with a TD thrown in here and there and you've got yourself a decent play.

Brandon Marshall, MIA: "But Zach, Brandon Marshall isn't a sleeper! We all know he's a solid receiver!" Yes, this is true. However, while he isn't a sleeper in the true sense of the word, I believe Marshall will be top 5-10 at his position the rest of the way, something he hasn't quite done yet.  His numbers in his first 4 games--before Chad Henne's injury--and the last 4 have been nearly identical (only 2 fantasy points different). While looking at the numbers it seems like you know what you're gonna get with Marshall, I see a huge ceiling for his stats.  Quarterback Matt Moore has targeted Marshall and average of about 10 times per game, and Moore is only gonna get better. It sounds cliche, but you do the math.

Jake Ballard, NYG: What I predict out of Ballard's career isn't stardom or Pro Bowls, it's a consistent "steady-eddy" performance that boosts him into the top 10 tight ends. He's not flashy or fast, he isn't a hybrid tight end like up-and-coming stars Jimmy Graham and Jermichael Finley. What he is, however, is a tight end who's a great blocker, a solid route runner, and catches every dang ball that Eli Manning guns his way. The only number you need to know about Ballard's 2011 campaign is 238. That's actually 238%. His fantasy production has been 238% more over the 2nd quarter of the season than the 1st. It's a small sample size, but that's incredible. All Ballard does is produce...pick him up.

Chris Ogbonnaya, CLE: The first running back of the group and it's one that has 136 rushing yards in his career! No, this isn't me trying to be funny, I'm serious. I get that you probably doubt him after his outstanding 1 fantasy point last week, and he does play Baltimore and Pittsburgh 4 times over the rest of the season. However, 2 of these match-ups come in weeks 16 and 17, and week 17 is usually irrelevant in fantasy football leagues. He'll be the man if Peyton Hillis and Montario Hardesty miss more time, and if Colt McCoy keeps regressing the Browns might actually try running it more. No, this won't be the 2nd coming of Jim Brown, but Ogbonnaya could be somewhat valuable off your bench.

Honorable Mentions

If they aren't owned already, pick them up now:
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